Research of circular model of sustainable agricultural development
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.35774/econa2020.04.195Keywords:
сталий розвиток, циркулярна економіка, міжгалузевий баланс, сільське господарство, міжгалузеві зв’язкиAbstract
The relevance of the study is due to the need to find a balance between subsystems of sustainable economic development by determining the rational structure, regulation of intersectoral relations and providing opportunities for progressive changes. The aim of the article is to study the balance of structural changes in the economy of Ukraine and their role in ensuring sustainable development of the agricultural sector. The model of intersectoral balance was chosen to determine the existing market relations, which allows to forecast the development of all branches of the real economy and agriculture in particular within one mathematical model. Based on the different views of scientists on the prospects for economic growth in Ukraine, the urgent need for high rates of economic restructuring has been identified. The effect of weakening economic growth through structural simplification has been established in the researches of scientists. In this context, the country's further specialization in "raw material" exports is a matter of concern, which may have a negative impact on price factor in the long run. The ratio of intermediate consumption to total output in the intersectoral balance of Ukraine is much higher than in developed countries, which indicates the high cost of the economy. In addition, we have much greater stability of agricultural expenditure indicators compared to other industries.
The ways of production use of goods and the existing relationships between the main sectors of the economy can be explored through the structure of the intersectoral balance, in which the input (initial) data are indicators of final consumption. The structure of intermediate consumption allows determining the coefficients of direct costs, which are stable over time and do not depend on the volume of production in the industry. However, the structure of direct costs is subject to the influence of not fully predictable factors, which include changes in technology and competition.
The paper identifies a decline in the share of self-sufficiency (circularity) of agriculture in the gross output of the industry in favor of a growing share of exports. The share of exports in the structure of gross output of the agricultural sector of Ukraine has been steadily growing for the last seventeen years. Systems of equations of manufacturing industries have been developed to find solutions for optimizing structural changes in industries in general and in agriculture in particular. It is proposed that the current structure of the economy requires new sources of growth, which can be realized through the circular model of agriculture that can be promoted by the circularity of agriculture.
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